Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Rome, clay - 1/64-finals

Date: 6 May 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Rome 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Katie Boulter		Eva Lys

	1	2
	1.62	2.3	Watch
	1.6	2.3
	1.62	2.31	Watch
	1.67	2.32
	1.62	2.24	Watch
	1.62	2.3
	1.63	2.28	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↓ (1.87)	2.29 ↑ (1.87)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Katie Boulter
58.5%

Eva Lys
41.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.2%

49.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Katie Boulter has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Katie Boulter's performance.

Eva Lys has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Eva Lys might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Katie Boulter than the current prediction. (-8.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Katie Boulter that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eva Lys than the current prediction. (+8.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Eva Lys could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
82.4%	0%	17.6%

Katie Boulter - Eva Lys Predictions

Users Predictions: Katie Boulter will win (14 of 17 users predict this - 82.35%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.23% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Katie Boulter will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Boulter is ranked WTA: 60. Lys is ranked WTA: 80.

Boulter has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Lys is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Lys may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Boulter won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Katie Boulter - the odds 1.87 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 64% of matches with these odds.

Eva Lys - the odds 1.87 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Katie Boulter
WTA Madrid
24.04.26	Jessica Pegula - Katie Boulter	2:0 ✺
22.04.26	Taylor Townsend - Katie Boulter	0:2 ✺
WTA Rouen
17.04.26	Veronika Podrez - Katie Boulter	2:0 ✺
15.04.26	Katie Boulter - Jaqueline Adina Cristian	2:1 ✺
13.04.26	Maria Timofeeva - Katie Boulter	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LWLWW
- Eva Lys
WTA Madrid
22.04.26	Shuai Zhang - Eva Lys	2:0 ✺
WTA Stuttgart
15.04.26	Eva Lys - Elina Svitolina	0:2 ✺
14.04.26	Eva Lys - Paula Badosa	2:1 ✺
WTA Charleston
30.03.26	Eva Lys - Katie Volynets	1:2 ✺
WTA Miami
19.03.26	Eva Lys - Yulia Starodubtseva	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

WTA Tokyo
19.10.25	Katie Boulter - Eva Lys	0:2

Katie Boulter - Eva Lys