Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Madrid, clay - 1/32-finals

Date: 24 April 2026, Friday


	Jessica Pegula		Katie Boulter

	1	2
	1.13	6	Watch
	1.14	5.6
	1.16	6.25
	1.14	5.72	Watch
	1.13	6
	1.19	5.22	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.15 ↓ (1.18)	5.8 ↑ (4.77)

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jessica Pegula
83.5%

Katie Boulter
16.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

80.2%

19.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jessica Pegula has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Katie Boulter has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Jessica Pegula - Katie Boulter Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Pegula will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Boulter will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Pegula is ranked WTA: 5. Boulter is ranked WTA: 61.

Pegula is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Boulter's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Pegula may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Pegula is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Pegula won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jessica Pegula
WTA Charleston
05.04.26	Jessica Pegula - Yulia Starodubtseva	2:0 ✺
04.04.26	Jessica Pegula - Iva Jovic	0:2 ✺
03.04.26	Jessica Pegula - Diana Shnaider	2:1 ✺
02.04.26	Jessica Pegula - Elisabaetta Cocciaretto	2:1 ✺
01.04.26	Jessica Pegula - Yulia Putintseva	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WLWWW
- Katie Boulter
WTA Madrid
22.04.26	Taylor Townsend - Katie Boulter	0:2 ✺
WTA Rouen
17.04.26	Veronika Podrez - Katie Boulter	2:0 ✺
15.04.26	Katie Boulter - Jaqueline Adina Cristian	2:1 ✺
13.04.26	Maria Timofeeva - Katie Boulter	0:2 ✺
13.04.26	Elsa Jacquemot - Katie Boulter	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WLWW?

Latest Head to Head

WTA Billie Jean King Cup World Group
20.09.25	Jessica Pegula - Katie Boulter	2:1
WTA United Cup
30.12.23	Jessica Pegula - Katie Boulter	1:2

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