Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Madrid, clay - 1/32-finals

Date: 25 April 2025, Friday


	Katie Boulter		Jasmine Paolini

	1	2
	4.5	1.2	Watch
	4.1	1.22
	4.6	1.18	Watch
	4.63	1.22
	4.51	1.2	Watch
	4.2	1.22
	4.54	1.21	Watch
	4.6	1.18
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.46 ↑ (3.43)	1.2 ↓ (1.25)

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Katie Boulter
21.3%

Jasmine Paolini
78.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.7%

73.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Katie Boulter has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Katie Boulter's form might have worsened.

Jasmine Paolini has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Jasmine Paolini's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
31.2%	0%	68.7%

Katie Boulter - Jasmine Paolini Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Boulter will win (votes: 5 - 31.3%). Paolini will win (votes: 11 - 68.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Paolini: 46.1% – 91.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Boulter (votes: 2 - 50%). Paolini (votes: 2 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 Sets - Paolini (1.30) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 20.5 Games - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Boulter (votes: 2 - 40%). Paolini (votes: 3 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Boulter is ranked WTA: 40. Paolini is ranked WTA: 6.

Two players are playing changeable.

Boulter could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Paolini is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Boulter won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2:4 (average 0.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Katie Boulter
WTA Madrid
22.04.25	Katie Boulter - Katerina Siniakova	2:1 ✺
WTA Billie Jean King Cup World Group
12.04.25	Katie Boulter - Suzan Lamens	0:2 ✺
11.04.25	Katie Boulter - Tatjana Maria	2:1 ✺
WTA Miami
19.03.25	Katie Boulter - Peyton Stearns	0:2 ✺
WTA Indian Wells
09.03.25	Elena Rybakina - Katie Boulter	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WLWLL
- Jasmine Paolini
WTA Stuttgart
20.04.25	Aryna Sabalenka - Jasmine Paolini	2:0 ✺
19.04.25	Cori Gauff - Jasmine Paolini	0:2 ✺
17.04.25	Jule Niemeier - Jasmine Paolini	0:2 ✺
15.04.25	Eva Lys - Jasmine Paolini	0:2 ✺
WTA Miami
27.03.25	Aryna Sabalenka - Jasmine Paolini	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

WTA Eastbourne
27.06.24	Katie Boulter - Jasmine Paolini	0:2
WTA Linz
29.01.24	Katie Boulter - Jasmine Paolini	2:0
WTA Indian Wells
10.03.22	Katie Boulter - Jasmine Paolini	0:2
WTA Acapulco
25.02.20	Katie Boulter - Jasmine Paolini	Canceled

Katie Boulter - Jasmine Paolini: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide