Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Finals - Riyadh, hard

Date: 2 November 2025, Sunday

Location: King Saud University Stadium (Riyadh)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	CANAL+ Sport 2
Finland	DAZN
France	beIN Sports 3, beIN Sports MAX 6
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis
Greece	Nova Sports 5
Italy	Super Tennis
Poland	CANAL+ Sport 2
Slovakia	Voyo
United-kingdom	Sky Sports+


	Aryna Sabalenka		Jasmine Paolini

	1	2
	1.29	3.75	Watch
	1.3	3.4	Watch
	1.21	4.12	Watch
	1.28	3.82	Watch
	1.33	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.28 ↑ (1.21)	3.72 ↓ (4.12)

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aryna Sabalenka
74.4%

Jasmine Paolini
25.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

77.3%

22.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aryna Sabalenka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Jasmine Paolini has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Aryna Sabalenka - Jasmine Paolini Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Sabalenka will win (votes: 12 - 75%). Paolini will win (votes: 4 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sabalenka: 53.8% – 96.2%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 Sets - Paolini (2.00) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Aryna Sabalenka will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Sabalenka (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Paolini (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Sabalenka is ranked WTA: 1. Paolini is ranked WTA: 8.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sabalenka won 4.

Sabalenka is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Paolini has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Sabalenka is seen as the favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Sabalenka won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:2. (average 1.8:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aryna Sabalenka
WTA Wuhan
11.10.25	Aryna Sabalenka - Jessica Pegula	1:2 ✺
10.10.25	Aryna Sabalenka - Elena Rybakina	2:0 ✺
09.10.25	Aryna Sabalenka - Ludmilla Samsonova	2:0 ✺
08.10.25	Aryna Sabalenka - Rebecca Sramkova	2:1 ✺
WTA US Open
06.09.25	Aryna Sabalenka - Amanda Anisimova	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LWWWW
- Jasmine Paolini
WTA Ningbo
18.10.25	Elena Rybakina - Jasmine Paolini	2:0 ✺
17.10.25	Belinda Bencic - Jasmine Paolini	1:2 ✺
16.10.25	Veronika Kudermetova - Jasmine Paolini	0:2 ✺
WTA Wuhan
11.10.25	Cori Gauff - Jasmine Paolini	2:0 ✺
10.10.25	Jasmine Paolini - Iga Swiatek	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

WTA Stuttgart
20.04.25	Aryna Sabalenka - Jasmine Paolini	2:0
WTA Miami
27.03.25	Aryna Sabalenka - Jasmine Paolini	2:0
WTA Finals
04.11.24	Aryna Sabalenka - Jasmine Paolini	2:0
WTA Beijing
05.10.23	Aryna Sabalenka - Jasmine Paolini	2:0
WTA Indian Wells
12.03.22	Jasmine Paolini - Aryna Sabalenka	2:1
WTA Linz
10.11.20	Aryna Sabalenka - Jasmine Paolini	2:0

Aryna Sabalenka - Jasmine Paolini: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide