Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Merida, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 25 February 2026, Wednesday


	Katie Boulter		Maria Camila Osorio Serrano

	1	2
	2.2	1.67	Watch
	2.15	1.68	Watch
	2.29	1.69
	1.50	2.58	Watch
	2.1	1.73
	2.13	1.72	Watch
	1.95	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↑ (1.83)	1.85 ↑ (1.83)

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Katie Boulter
47.4%

Maria Camila Osorio Serrano
52.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.2%

61.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Katie Boulter has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Maria Camila Osorio Serrano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Katie Boulter than the current prediction. (-9.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Katie Boulter that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maria Camila Osorio Serrano than the current prediction. (+9.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Maria Camila Osorio Serrano could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30.8%	0%	69.2%

Katie Boulter - Maria Camila Osorio Serrano Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Boulter will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%). Osorio Serrano will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Osorio Serrano: 44.1% – 94.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Osorio Serrano (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

#ad

Preview

Boulter is ranked WTA: 69. Osorio Serrano is ranked WTA: 61.

Boulter is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Osorio Serrano has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Osorio Serrano may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Boulter won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0. (average 1:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Katie Boulter
WTA Merida
23.02.26	Katie Boulter - Beatriz Haddad Maia	2:0 ✺
WTA Ostrava
07.02.26	Katie Boulter - Tamara Korpatsch	2:1 ✺
06.02.26	Katie Volynets - Katie Boulter	0:2 ✺
05.02.26	Linda Fruhvirtova - Katie Boulter	0:2 ✺
04.02.26	Katie Boulter - Viktorija Golubic	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WWWWW
- Maria Camila Osorio Serrano
WTA Merida
24.02.26	Maria Camila Osorio Serrano - Janice Tjen	2:0 ✺
WTA Doha
11.02.26	Jelena Ostapenko - Maria Camila Osorio Serrano	2:0 ✺
10.02.26	Maria Camila Osorio Serrano - Katerina Siniakova	2:1 ✺
09.02.26	Emma Raducanu - Maria Camila Osorio Serrano	Raducanu E. retired ✺
07.02.26	Storm Hunter - Maria Camila Osorio Serrano	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WLW?W

Latest Head to Head

WTA Cincinnati
12.08.23	Katie Boulter - Maria Camila Osorio Serrano	Boulter K. retired
WTA Nottingham
07.06.21	Maria Camila Osorio Serrano - Katie Boulter	0:2

Katie Boulter - Maria Camila Osorio Serrano: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide