The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Emma Raducanu 49.6%
Maria Camila Osorio Serrano 50.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
63.1%
36.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
56.9%
43.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Emma Raducanu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Emma Raducanu's form might have worsened.
Maria Camila Osorio Serrano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Maria Camila Osorio Serrano's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Emma Raducanu than the current prediction. (+7.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Emma Raducanu, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maria Camila Osorio Serrano than the current prediction. (-7.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Maria Camila Osorio Serrano, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
62.5%
0%
37.5%
Emma Raducanu - Maria Camila Osorio Serrano Predictions
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. Raducanu will win (votes: 10 - 62.5%). Osorio Serrano will win (votes: 6 - 37.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for Raducanu: 38.8% – 86.2%.