Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W35 Don Benito, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 12 July 2025, Saturday


	Katie Swan		Jenny Duerst

	1	2
	1.3	3.1
	1.31	3.31
			Watch
	1.33	3.25
	1.32	3.14	Watch
	1.6	2.17
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↓ (1.64)	2.99 ↑ (2.19)

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Katie Swan
68.6%

Jenny Duerst
31.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.2%

42.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.9%

45.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Katie Swan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Katie Swan's performance.

Jenny Duerst has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jenny Duerst might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Katie Swan than the current prediction. (-13.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Katie Swan that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jenny Duerst than the current prediction. (+13.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jenny Duerst could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Katie Swan - Jenny Duerst Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Duerst (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Swan is ranked WTA: 754. Duerst is ranked WTA: 329.

Swan has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Duerst is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Swan may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Swan could have a small edge in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Katie Swan
ITF Tournaments
11.07.25	Alina Granwehr - Katie Swan	0:2 ✺
10.07.25	Katie Swan - Anastasia Abbagnato	2:1 ✺
09.07.25	Katie Swan - Yanni Liu	2:0 ✺
WTA Wimbledon
24.06.25	Katie Swan - Leyre Romero Gormaz	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
14.06.25	Katie Swan - Dasha Plekhanova	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WWWLL
- Jenny Duerst
ITF Tournaments
11.07.25	Valentini Grammatikopoulou - Jenny Duerst	1:2 ✺
10.07.25	Martina Genis Salas - Jenny Duerst	0:2 ✺
04.07.25	Jenny Duerst - Sarah Van Emst	0:2 ✺
03.07.25	Anouck Vrancken Peeters - Jenny Duerst	1:2 ✺
02.07.25	Luisa Meyer Auf Der Heide - Jenny Duerst	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WWLWW

Katie Swan - Jenny Duerst: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide