Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Caldas da Rainha, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 16 September 2025, Tuesday


	Kayla Cross		Ayla Aksu

	1	2
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	1.91	1.85
	1.85	1.85	Watch
			Watch
	1.87	1.85	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↑ (1.67)	1.85 ↓ (2.1)

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kayla Cross
49.7%

Ayla Aksu
50.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.7%

44.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.1%

43.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kayla Cross has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kayla Cross's form might have worsened.

Ayla Aksu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ayla Aksu's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kayla Cross than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kayla Cross, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ayla Aksu than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ayla Aksu, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Kayla Cross - Ayla Aksu Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Aksu (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.5 Games - Aksu (1.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Aksu (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Cross is ranked WTA: 249. Aksu is ranked WTA: 377.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Cross may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kayla Cross
ITF Tournaments
13.09.25	Kayla Cross - Alina Korneeva	1:2 ✺
12.09.25	Kayla Cross - Francisca Jorge	Jorge F. retired ✺
11.09.25	Kayla Cross - Mingge Xu	2:1 ✺
09.09.25	Kayla Cross - Jada Robinson	2:0 ✺
04.09.25	Kayla Cross - Katherine Sebov	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 L?WWL
- Ayla Aksu
ATP Challenger
15.09.25	Ayla Aksu - Ekaterina Ovcharenko	2:0 ✺
14.09.25	Ayla Aksu - Diana Martynov	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
10.09.25	Ayla Aksu - Alina Korneeva	0:2 ✺
04.09.25	Ayla Aksu - Alina Korneeva	0:2 ✺
03.09.25	Elza Tomase - Ayla Aksu	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WWLLW

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