Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W15 Luan 8, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 5 September 2025, Friday


	Kayo Nishimura		Maria Kalyakina

	1	2
	1.25	3.55
	1.27	3.62
	1.59	2.15	Watch
	1.26	3.54	Watch
	1.33	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.34 ↑ (1.33)	3.22 ↓ (3.25)

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kayo Nishimura
70.6%

Maria Kalyakina
29.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

71%

29%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72%

28%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kayo Nishimura has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Maria Kalyakina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kayo Nishimura than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maria Kalyakina than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Kayo Nishimura - Maria Kalyakina Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Kalyakina (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Nishimura is ranked WTA: 901. Kalyakina is ranked WTA: 797.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Kalyakina may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Nishimura is considered a favorite.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kayo Nishimura
ITF Tournaments
04.09.25	Jialan Cai - Kayo Nishimura	Cai J. retired ✺
03.09.25	Kayo Nishimura - Polina Kuharenko	2:1 ✺
03.09.25	Kayo Nishimura - Duanrui Gao	2:1 ✺
29.08.25	Meng Yi Chen - Kayo Nishimura	Nishimura K. retired ✺
28.08.25	Jana Kolodynska - Kayo Nishimura	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 ?WW?W
- Maria Kalyakina
ITF Tournaments
04.09.25	Michika Ozeki - Maria Kalyakina	1:2 ✺
03.09.25	Zixuan Zeng - Maria Kalyakina	0:2 ✺
02.09.25	Ksenia Meshcheryakova - Maria Kalyakina	1:2 ✺
12.08.25	Daria Zelinskaya - Maria Kalyakina	2:1 ✺
06.08.25	Daria Zelinskaya - Maria Kalyakina	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WWWLL

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