Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 VALE DO LOBO (PORTUGAL), HARD - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 12 March 2024, Tuesday


	Keegan Smith		Michael Geerts

	1	2
	2.4	1.48
	2.34	1.55
	2.34	1.56
	2.5	1.5
	2.45	1.51	Watch
	2.5	1.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.42 ↓ (2.94)	1.51 ↑ (1.35)

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Keegan Smith
38.4%

Michael Geerts
61.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.5%

68.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.8%

70.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Keegan Smith has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Keegan Smith's performance.

Michael Geerts has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Michael Geerts might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Keegan Smith than the current prediction. (-8.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Keegan Smith that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Michael Geerts than the current prediction. (+8.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Michael Geerts could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Two players are playing changeable.

Geerts could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Geerts is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Keegan Smith
ITF Tournaments
08.03.24	Hady Habib - Keegan Smith	2:1 ✺
07.03.24	Keegan Smith - Lorenzo Giustino	2:1 ✺
06.03.24	Leopold Zima - Keegan Smith	0:2 ✺
01.03.24	Matthew Dellavedova - Keegan Smith	2:1 ✺
29.02.24	Keegan Smith - Nick Chappell	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LWWLW
- Michael Geerts
ITF Tournaments
07.03.24	Jaime Faria - Michael Geerts	2:1 ✺
06.03.24	Matthew Dellavedova - Michael Geerts	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
27.02.24	Michael Geerts - Hazem Naw	1:2 ✺
26.02.24	Michael Geerts - Oscar Otte	2:1 ✺
25.02.24	Michael Geerts - Kenny De Schepper	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LWLWW

Keegan Smith - Michael Geerts: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide