Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Nottingham, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 30 April 2025, Wednesday


	Keegan Smith		Philip Henning

	1	2
	3.4	1.26
	3.31	1.3
			Watch
	3.25	1.33
	3.26	1.3	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.31 ↑ (2.5)	1.3 ↓ (1.51)

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Keegan Smith
28.2%

Philip Henning
71.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.7%

62.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.1%

63.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Keegan Smith has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Keegan Smith's form might have worsened.

Philip Henning has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Philip Henning's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Keegan Smith than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Keegan Smith, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Philip Henning than the current prediction. (-7.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Philip Henning, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Smith is ranked ATP: 541. Henning is ranked ATP: 360.

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Henning could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Henning is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Keegan Smith
ITF Tournaments
02.04.25	Keegan Smith - Robert Guna	0:2 ✺
27.03.25	Keegan Smith - Gian Gruenig	Gruenig G. walkover ✺
25.03.25	Keegan Smith - Twan van Zijl	2:0 ✺
22.03.25	Keegan Smith - Pierre Delage	0:2 ✺
21.03.25	Miles Jones - Keegan Smith	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 L?WLW
- Philip Henning
ATP Challenger
25.04.25	Aziz Dougaz - Philip Henning	2:0 ✺
24.04.25	Giles Hussey - Philip Henning	1:2 ✺
22.04.25	Guillaume Dalmasso - Philip Henning	1:2 ✺
17.04.25	Giles Hussey - Philip Henning	2:0 ✺
15.04.25	Lucas Poullain - Philip Henning	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LWWLW

Keegan Smith - Philip Henning: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide