Match Info

Date: 7 December 2021, Tuesday


	Keegan Smith		Valentin Vacherot

	1	2
	1.72	2	Watch
	1.8	1.9
	1.8	1.98	Watch
	1.75	1.93
	1.81	2.03
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	1.71	2.09	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↑ (1.76)	1.97 ↓ (2.01)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Keegan Smith
52.6%

Valentin Vacherot
47.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.2%

46.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.5%

45.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Keegan Smith has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Valentin Vacherot has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Keegan Smith than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valentin Vacherot than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81%	0%	19%

Keegan Smith - Valentin Vacherot Predictions

Users Predictions: Keegan Smith will win (17 of 21 users predict this - 80.95%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.15% – 97.75%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Two players has got a chain of failures in the last matches.

Smith could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Keegan Smith
ATP Challenger
06.12.21	Moez Echargui - Keegan Smith	0:2 ✺
05.12.21	Lorenzo Rottoli - Keegan Smith	0:2 ✺
17.11.21	Stefan Kozlov - Keegan Smith	2:0 ✺
16.11.21	Keegan Smith - Michael Mmoh	Mmoh M. retired ✺
15.11.21	Keegan Smith - Tristan Boyer	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WWL?W
- Valentin Vacherot
ATP Challenger
29.11.21	Valentin Vacherot - Jelle Sels	1:2 ✺
28.11.21	Alexander Erler - Valentin Vacherot	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
21.11.21	Valentin Vacherot - Philip Sekulic	2:1 ✺
20.11.21	Vishnu Vardhan - Valentin Vacherot	0:2 ✺
18.11.21	Valentin Vacherot - Abhinav Sanjeev Shanmugam	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LWWWW

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