Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Cleveland, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 6 February 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Cleveland 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Finland	18:20	Veikkaus TV


	Stefan Kozlov		Keegan Smith

	1	2
	1.44	2.63	Watch
	1.45	2.5	Watch
	1.52	2.67
	1.47	2.5	Watch
	1.53	2.38	Watch
	1.45	2.56	Watch
	1.57	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↓ (1.53)	2.51 ↑ (2.33)

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stefan Kozlov
62.7%

Keegan Smith
37.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

60.4%

39.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.5%

41.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stefan Kozlov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Keegan Smith has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stefan Kozlov than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Keegan Smith than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Stefan Kozlov - Keegan Smith Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Kozlov will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Smith will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Kozlov (votes: 2 - 50%). Smith (votes: 2 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Kozlov is ranked ATP: 283. Smith is ranked ATP: 338.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Smith may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Kozlov might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Kozlov won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stefan Kozlov
ATP Challenger
04.02.26	Stefan Kozlov - Raphael Perot	2:1 ✺
02.02.26	Stefan Kozlov - Cedrik-Marcel Stebe	2:1 ✺
28.01.26	Sho Shimabukuro - Stefan Kozlov	2:1 ✺
22.01.26	Stefan Kozlov - Francesco Passaro	1:2 ✺
20.01.26	Alexis Galarneau - Stefan Kozlov	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WWLLW
- Keegan Smith
ATP Challenger
04.02.26	Keegan Smith - Antoine Ghibaudo	2:0 ✺
03.02.26	Tyler Zink - Keegan Smith	1:2 ✺
29.01.26	Keegan Smith - Zachary Svajda	0:2 ✺
28.01.26	Raphael Perot - Keegan Smith	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
17.01.26	Keegan Smith - Quinn Vandecasteele	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
17.11.21	Stefan Kozlov - Keegan Smith	2:0

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stefan Kozlov
ATP Challenger
29.10.26	Max Hans Rehberg - Stefan Kozlov	✺

Stefan Kozlov - Keegan Smith