The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Kei Nishikori 37.8%
Christian Garin 62.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
42.9%
57.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.6%
56.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kei Nishikori has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kei Nishikori's form might have worsened.
Christian Garin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Christian Garin's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kei Nishikori than the current prediction. (+5.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kei Nishikori, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Christian Garin than the current prediction. (-5.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Christian Garin, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
14.9%
0%
85.1%
Kei Nishikori - Christian Garin Predictions
Users Predictions:
Christian Garin will win
(57 of 67 users predict this - 85.07%). Confidence interval (95%): 76.54% – 93.6%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2
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Preview
Two players are playing changeable.
Nishikori could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Garin will have a mini benefit in this match.
Last 1 head-to-head matches Nishikori won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.