Match Info

Date: 4 May 2022, Wednesday


	Felix Aliassime-Auger		Christian Garin

	1	2
	1.5	2.62	Watch
	1.48	2.6
	1.5	2.6
	1.45	2.6
	1.53	2.7
	1.5	2.6	Watch
	1.5	2.66	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↑ (1.37)	2.63 ↓ (2.77)

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Felix Aliassime-Auger
63.7%

Christian Garin
36.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.9%

33.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.4%

30.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Felix Aliassime-Auger has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Christian Garin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Felix Aliassime-Auger than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Felix Aliassime-Auger, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Christian Garin than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Christian Garin, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.1%	0%	57.9%

Felix Aliassime Auger - Christian Garin Predictions

Users Predictions: 38 users predict this event. Aliassime-Auger will win (votes: 16 - 42.1%). Garin will win (votes: 22 - 57.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Garin: 42.2% – 73.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Garin could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Aliassime-Auger will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Aliassime-Auger won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Felix Aliassime-Auger
ATP Estoril
29.04.22	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Sebastian Korda	0:2 ✺
28.04.22	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Carlos Taberner	2:1 ✺
ATP Barcelona
22.04.22	Diego Sebastian Schwartzman - Felix Aliassime-Auger	2:1 ✺
22.04.22	Francis Tiafoe - Felix Aliassime-Auger	0:2 ✺
20.04.22	Carlos Taberner - Felix Aliassime-Auger	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LWLWW
- Christian Garin
ATP Madrid
03.05.22	Francis Tiafoe - Christian Garin	0:2 ✺
ATP Munich
27.04.22	Alejandro Tabilo - Christian Garin	2:0 ✺
26.04.22	Filip Krajinovic - Christian Garin	Canceled ✺
ATP Belgrade
18.04.22	Christian Garin - Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune	0:2 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
12.04.22	Emil Ruusuvuori - Christian Garin	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WL?L?

Latest Head to Head

ATP Monte Carlo
13.04.21	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Christian Garin	0:2
ATP Rio de Janeiro
20.02.19	Christian Garin - Felix Aliassime-Auger	0:2
ATP Buenos Aires
11.02.19	Christian Garin - Felix Aliassime-Auger	2:1

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