Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Genova (Italy), clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 5 September 2024, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV


	Kei Nishikori		Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio

	1	2
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.72	2
	1.63	2.15	Watch
	1.76	2.1
	1.68	2.11	Watch
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.7	2.09	Watch
	1.63	2.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↑ (1.52)	2.12 ↓ (2.34)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kei Nishikori
55.9%

Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio
44.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.7%

39.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.9%

39.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kei Nishikori has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kei Nishikori than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio than the current prediction. (-5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.9%	0%	11.1%

Kei Nishikori - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino Samudio Predictions

Users Predictions: Kei Nishikori will win (24 of 27 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.04% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Nishikori is ranked ATP: 222. Varillas Patino-Samudio is ranked ATP: 157.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Varillas Patino-Samudio could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Nishikori will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kei Nishikori
ATP Challenger
03.09.24	Kei Nishikori - Matthew Dellavedova	2:0 ✺
30.08.24	Kei Nishikori - Gabriel Debru	Debru G. walkover ✺
29.08.24	Nikoloz Basilashvili - Kei Nishikori	Basilashvili N. retired ✺
27.08.24	Kei Nishikori - Samuel Vincent Ruggeri	2:0 ✺
ATP Montreal
10.08.24	Matteo Arnaldi - Kei Nishikori	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 W??WL
- Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio
ATP Challenger
03.09.24	Gianluca Cadenasso - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio	1:2 ✺
27.08.24	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Filip Misolic	Canceled ✺
ATP US Open
19.08.24	Hugo Grenier - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
24.07.24	Henry Bernet - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio	2:0 ✺
23.07.24	Remy Bertola - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 W?LLW

Kei Nishikori - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide