Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Montreal (Canada), hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 10 August 2024, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Montreal (Canada) 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard

Referee: Nour A. (Egy)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Croatia	04:45	SportKlub 1
Czech Republic	04:45	Premier Sport 3
Peru	21:45	Movistar Deportes
Slovenia	04:45	SportKlub 1
Spain	04:45	Movistar Deportes


	Matteo Arnaldi		Kei Nishikori

	1	2
	1.57	2.38	Watch
	1.53	2.55
	1.56	2.44
	1.55	2.53	Watch
	1.57	2.38	Watch
	1.55	2.47	Watch
	1.56	2.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↓ (1.65)	2.46 ↑ (2.25)

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Matteo Arnaldi
61.2%

Kei Nishikori
38.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

57.7%

42.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58%

42%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Matteo Arnaldi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Kei Nishikori has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matteo Arnaldi than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kei Nishikori than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Matteo Arnaldi - Kei Nishikori Predictions

Users Predictions: Matteo Arnaldi will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Arnaldi is ranked ATP: 46. Nishikori is ranked ATP: 576.

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Nishikori could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Arnaldi will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Matteo Arnaldi
ATP Montreal
10.08.24	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Matteo Arnaldi	Davidovich Fokina A. retired ✺
08.08.24	Matteo Arnaldi - Karen Khachanov	2:0 ✺
07.08.24	Mackenzie McDonald - Matteo Arnaldi	1:2 ✺
ATP Olympic Games
29.07.24	Dominik Koepfer - Matteo Arnaldi	2:1 ✺
28.07.24	Matteo Arnaldi - Arthur Fils	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 ?WWLW
- Kei Nishikori
ATP Montreal
10.08.24	Nuno Borges - Kei Nishikori	0:2 ✺
08.08.24	Kei Nishikori - Stefanos Tsitsipas	2:0 ✺
06.08.24	Alex Michelsen - Kei Nishikori	1:2 ✺
ATP Olympic Games
28.07.24	Jack Draper - Kei Nishikori	2:0 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
03.07.24	Kei Nishikori - Arthur Rinderknech	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.1 WWWLL

Matteo Arnaldi - Kei Nishikori

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Who will win by Users?

Matteo Arnaldi - Kei Nishikori Predictions

Preview

Form

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