Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Kashiwa, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 5 April 2025, Saturday


	Keisuke Saitoh		Hikaru Shiraishi

	1	2
	2.54	1.44
	3.01	1.37	Watch
	2.2	1.62
	2.89	1.37	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.66 ↑ (1.83)	1.45 ↓ (1.83)

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Keisuke Saitoh
35.3%

Hikaru Shiraishi
64.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.8%

52.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Keisuke Saitoh has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Keisuke Saitoh's form might have worsened.

Hikaru Shiraishi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Hikaru Shiraishi's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Keisuke Saitoh than the current prediction. (+12.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Keisuke Saitoh, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hikaru Shiraishi than the current prediction. (-12.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hikaru Shiraishi, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Keisuke Saitoh - Hikaru Shiraishi Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Saitoh is ranked ATP: 582. Shiraishi is ranked ATP: 544.

Recent matches Saitoh is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Shiraishi is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Saitoh could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both players are almost equal.

Our prediction for today's Shiraishi to win the game is with odds 1.7.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Keisuke Saitoh - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Hikaru Shiraishi - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Keisuke Saitoh
ITF Tournaments
04.04.25	Ryotaro Matsumura - Keisuke Saitoh	1:2 ✺
03.04.25	Issei Okamura - Keisuke Saitoh	0:2 ✺
31.03.25	Ryo Tabata - Keisuke Saitoh	1:2 ✺
20.03.25	Keisuke Saitoh - Oliver Crawford	0:2 ✺
19.03.25	Jie Cui - Keisuke Saitoh	Cui J. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WWWL?
- Hikaru Shiraishi
ITF Tournaments
04.04.25	Taiyo Yamanaka - Hikaru Shiraishi	0:2 ✺
04.04.25	Yuto Oki - Hikaru Shiraishi	0:2 ✺
01.04.25	Yuta Kawahashi - Hikaru Shiraishi	1:2 ✺
27.03.25	Yu Hsiou Hsu - Hikaru Shiraishi	2:0 ✺
26.03.25	Chan-Yeong Oh - Hikaru Shiraishi	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WWWLW

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