Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Kashiwa, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 31 March 2025, Monday


	Ryo Tabata		Keisuke Saitoh

	1	2
	2.16	1.65	Watch
	2.15	1.64
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↓ (2.74)	1.65 ↑ (1.39)

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ryo Tabata
43.3%

Keisuke Saitoh
56.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.6%

66.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32%

68%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ryo Tabata has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ryo Tabata's performance.

Keisuke Saitoh has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Keisuke Saitoh might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ryo Tabata than the current prediction. (-11.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ryo Tabata that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Keisuke Saitoh than the current prediction. (+11.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Keisuke Saitoh could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Tabata is ranked ATP: 1210. Saitoh is ranked ATP: 582.

Recent matches Tabata is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Saitoh is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Saitoh could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Saitoh will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ryo Tabata
ITF Tournaments
27.03.25	Takuya Kumasaka - Ryo Tabata	2:0 ✺
26.03.25	Ryo Tabata - Yusuke Takahashi	2:0 ✺
24.03.25	Ji Sung Nam - Ryo Tabata	0:2 ✺
20.03.25	Ji Sung Nam - Ryo Tabata	2:0 ✺
19.03.25	Ryo Tabata - Sanhui Shin	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.1 LWWLW
- Keisuke Saitoh
ITF Tournaments
20.03.25	Keisuke Saitoh - Oliver Crawford	0:2 ✺
19.03.25	Jie Cui - Keisuke Saitoh	Cui J. retired ✺
17.03.25	Keisuke Saitoh - Naoki Tajima	2:0 ✺
12.03.25	Kaichi Uchida - Keisuke Saitoh	2:1 ✺
11.02.25	Keisuke Saitoh - Kody Pearson	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 L?WLL

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Keisuke Saitoh
ATP Challenger
09.10.26	Keisuke Saitoh - Jay Dylan Hara Friend	✺

Ryo Tabata - Keisuke Saitoh: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide