Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Launceston, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 3 March 2026, Tuesday


	Keisuke Saitoh		Joshua Charlton

	1	2
			Watch
			Watch
	1.71	2.16
	1.10	5.74	Watch
	1.75	1.95
	1.71	1.99	Watch
	1.69	1.96
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↓ (1.7)	2.76 ↑ (1.99)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Keisuke Saitoh
63.4%

Joshua Charlton
36.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.9%

46.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.6%

57.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Keisuke Saitoh has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Keisuke Saitoh's performance.

Joshua Charlton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Joshua Charlton might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Keisuke Saitoh than the current prediction. (-20.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Keisuke Saitoh that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Joshua Charlton than the current prediction. (+20.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Joshua Charlton could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Keisuke Saitoh - Joshua Charlton Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Charlton (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Saitoh is ranked ATP: 771. Charlton is ranked ATP: 832.

Recent performances by Saitoh have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Charlton is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Charlton may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Saitoh won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Keisuke Saitoh
ITF Tournaments
26.02.26	Enzo Aguiard - Keisuke Saitoh	2:0 ✺
25.02.26	Keisuke Saitoh - Tai Sach	2:0 ✺
24.02.26	Keisuke Saitoh - Zachary Adam-Gedge	2:0 ✺
30.01.26	Oleksandr Ovcharenko - Keisuke Saitoh	2:0 ✺
29.01.26	Keisuke Saitoh - Luca Castagnola	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LWWLW
- Joshua Charlton
ITF Tournaments
25.02.26	Pavle Marinkov - Joshua Charlton	2:0 ✺
23.02.26	Joshua Charlton - Duje Markovina	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
07.02.26	Duje Markovina - Joshua Charlton	2:1 ✺
25.01.26	Michele Ribecai - Joshua Charlton	2:0 ✺
03.01.26	Joshua Charlton - Justin Boulais	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
16.06.22	Joshua Charlton - Keisuke Saitoh	1:2

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