Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Monastir 3, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 29 January 2026, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Monastir 3 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Keisuke Saitoh		Luca Castagnola

	1	2
	1.63	2.29
	2.55	1.43	Watch
	1.53	2.38
	1.55	2.3	Watch
	1.73	1.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↓ (1.83)	2.06 ↑ (1.83)

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Keisuke Saitoh
53.4%

Luca Castagnola
46.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

50%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Keisuke Saitoh has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Luca Castagnola has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Keisuke Saitoh - Luca Castagnola Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -2.5 Games - Saitoh (1.70) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Keisuke Saitoh will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Keisuke Saitoh will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Saitoh (votes: 9 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Saitoh is ranked ATP: 821. Castagnola is ranked ATP: 671.

Saitoh is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Saitoh may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Saitoh will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Saitoh won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Keisuke Saitoh - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 60% of matches with these odds.

Luca Castagnola - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Keisuke Saitoh
ITF Tournaments
28.01.26	Toufik Sahtali - Keisuke Saitoh	0:2 ✺
23.01.26	Dimitris Sakellaridis - Keisuke Saitoh	2:0 ✺
22.01.26	Keisuke Saitoh - Petr Nesterov	2:1 ✺
17.01.26	Dimitris Sakellaridis - Keisuke Saitoh	0:2 ✺
15.01.26	Keisuke Saitoh - Egor Agafonov	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WLWWW
- Luca Castagnola
ITF Tournaments
27.01.26	Luca Castagnola - Massimo Giunta	2:1 ✺
22.01.26	Luca Castagnola - Max Basing	0:2 ✺
21.01.26	Luca Castagnola - Denis Constantin Spiridon	Spiridon D. C. retired ✺
14.01.26	Luca Castagnola - Izan Almazan Valiente	0:2 ✺
04.11.25	Amit Vales - Luca Castagnola	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WL?LL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
07.02.24	Luca Castagnola - Keisuke Saitoh	2:1

Keisuke Saitoh - Luca Castagnola