Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Kursumlijska Banja 10, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 10 July 2025, Thursday


	Kevin Edengren		Lorenzo Gagliardo

	1	2
	1.95	1.72
	2.04	1.72
			Watch
	1.91	1.8
	2	1.72	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↓ (2.36)	1.74 ↑ (1.55)

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kevin Edengren
46.8%

Lorenzo Gagliardo
53.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.6%

60.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.7%

61.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kevin Edengren has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Kevin Edengren's performance.

Lorenzo Gagliardo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lorenzo Gagliardo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kevin Edengren than the current prediction. (-8.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kevin Edengren that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorenzo Gagliardo than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lorenzo Gagliardo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Edengren is ranked ATP: 1667. Gagliardo is ranked ATP: 974.

Edengren is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Gagliardo has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Gagliardo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Gagliardo will hold a modest advantage in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kevin Edengren
ITF Tournaments
03.07.25	Kevin Edengren - Denis Klok	0:2 ✺
02.07.25	Kevin Edengren - Andrej Radojicic	2:0 ✺
25.06.25	Zdenek Kolar - Kevin Edengren	2:0 ✺
12.06.25	Kevin Edengren - David Jorda Sanchis	0:2 ✺
15.05.25	Kevin Edengren - Maxim Zhukov	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1 LWLLL
- Lorenzo Gagliardo
ITF Tournaments
25.06.25	Lorenzo Gagliardo - Petar Jovanovic	0:2 ✺
07.06.25	Franco Agamenone - Lorenzo Gagliardo	2:0 ✺
06.06.25	Felix Gill - Lorenzo Gagliardo	1:2 ✺
05.06.25	Ioannis Kountourakis - Lorenzo Gagliardo	0:2 ✺
04.06.25	Lorenzo Gagliardo - Daniel Dutra da Silva	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.5 LLWWW

Kevin Edengren - Lorenzo Gagliardo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide