Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Nonthaburi 3 (Thailand), hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 13 January 2025, Monday


	Khumoun Sultanov		Yuta Shimizu

	1	2
	1.91	1.8	Watch
	2.1	1.65
	1.96	1.75	Watch
	2.04	1.73	Watch
	2	1.73	Watch
	1.97	1.76	Watch
	1.96	1.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↑ (1.83)	1.74 ↓ (1.87)

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Khumoun Sultanov
46.6%

Yuta Shimizu
53.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.6%

49.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.4%

47.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Khumoun Sultanov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Yuta Shimizu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Khumoun Sultanov than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Khumoun Sultanov, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yuta Shimizu than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Yuta Shimizu, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Khumoun Sultanov - Yuta Shimizu Predictions

Users Predictions: Khumoun Sultanov will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Sultanov is ranked ATP: 215. Shimizu is ranked ATP: 195.

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Shimizu could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Yuta Shimizu - the odds 1.87 are the expected chance of winning is 49.39%, but this team recently wins 89% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Khumoun Sultanov
ATP Australian Open
07.01.25	Dalibor Svrcina - Khumoun Sultanov	2:1 ✺
05.01.25	Khumoun Sultanov - Daniel Elahi Galan	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
02.01.25	Khumoun Sultanov - Gregoire Barrere	0:2 ✺
31.12.24	Khumoun Sultanov - Hiroki Moriya	2:0 ✺
31.12.24	Timofey Skatov - Khumoun Sultanov	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 LWLWW
- Yuta Shimizu
ATP Australian Open
07.01.25	Yuta Shimizu - Billy Harris	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
28.12.24	Patrick Kypson - Yuta Shimizu	2:0 ✺
28.11.24	Yuta Shimizu - Philip Sekulic	0:2 ✺
27.11.24	Yuta Shimizu - Petr Bar-Biryukov	2:1 ✺
26.11.24	Yuta Shimizu - Alafia Ayeni	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LLLWW

Khumoun Sultanov - Yuta Shimizu: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide