What is the expert prediction for Koki Matsuda vs Makoto Ochi?

Our statistical model provides live predictions including win probabilities and estimated scores for Koki Matsuda vs Makoto Ochi. Follow the link for detailed analytics.

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Koki Matsuda vs Makoto Ochi Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Thursday, July 09, 2026)

Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Tokyo 4, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 9 July 2026, Thursday


	Koki Matsuda		Makoto Ochi

	1	2
	1.25	3.40
	1.32	3.10
	1.31	3.53
	1.17	3.38	Watch
	1.29	3.45
	1.27	3.41	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.27 (1.27)	3.38 ↑ (3.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.00

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Koki Matsuda
72.7%

Makoto Ochi
27.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

72.3%

27.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Koki Matsuda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Makoto Ochi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

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Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Matsuda is ranked ATP: 483. Ochi is ranked ATP: 1142.

Matsuda is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Ochi has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Ochi may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Matsuda is seen as the favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Matsuda won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Koki Matsuda
ITF Tournaments
08.07.26	Koki Matsuda - Ryuki Matsuda	2:0 ✺
07.07.26	Koki Matsuda - Reiya Komagata	2:0 ✺
02.07.26	Matthew Dellavedova - Koki Matsuda	2:0 ✺
01.07.26	Reiya Komagata - Koki Matsuda	0:2 ✺
29.06.26	Shinji Hazawa - Koki Matsuda	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WWLWW
- Makoto Ochi
ITF Tournaments
08.07.26	Makoto Ochi - Kasidit Samrej	2:0 ✺
07.07.26	Taisei Ichikawa - Makoto Ochi	0:2 ✺
01.07.26	Maximus Jones - Makoto Ochi	2:1 ✺
25.05.26	Uisung Park - Makoto Ochi	2:0 ✺
20.05.26	Tai Sach - Makoto Ochi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.6 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
14.08.23	Koki Matsuda - Makoto Ochi	1:2

Koki Matsuda - Makoto Ochi: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide