Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 LIMA 2 (PERU), CLAY - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 15 November 2022, Tuesday


	Kousuke Ogura		Alejandro Hoyos Franco

	1	2
	1.83	1.83
	1.9	1.82
	1.84	1.8
	1.89	1.83
	1.83	1.83
	2.17	1.63	Watch
	1.85	1.82
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↑ (1.56)	1.79 ↓ (2.24)

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kousuke Ogura
48.6%

Alejandro Hoyos Franco
51.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59%

41%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.3%

43.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kousuke Ogura has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kousuke Ogura's form might have worsened.

Alejandro Hoyos Franco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alejandro Hoyos Franco's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kousuke Ogura than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kousuke Ogura, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alejandro Hoyos Franco than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alejandro Hoyos Franco, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Ogura is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Hoyos Franco is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ogura could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Ogura will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Ogura won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kousuke Ogura
ITF Tournaments
10.11.22	Vitor Leal - Kousuke Ogura	2:0 ✺
08.11.22	Kousuke Ogura - Alejandro Hoyos Franco	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
31.10.22	Marco Cecchinato - Kousuke Ogura	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
25.10.22	Kousuke Ogura - Alex Knaff	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
18.10.22	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Kousuke Ogura	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LWLLL
- Alejandro Hoyos Franco
ITF Tournaments
08.11.22	Kousuke Ogura - Alejandro Hoyos Franco	2:0 ✺
06.10.22	Alejandro Hoyos Franco - Victor Lilov	1:2 ✺
04.10.22	Alejandro Hoyos Franco - Miguel Fernando Pereira	2:1 ✺
30.09.22	Alejandro Hoyos Franco - Jorge Brian Panta	0:2 ✺
29.09.22	Joao Victor Couto Loureiro - Alejandro Hoyos Franco	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
08.11.22	Kousuke Ogura - Alejandro Hoyos Franco	2:0

Kousuke Ogura - Alejandro Hoyos Franco: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide