Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Merida (Mexico) - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 16 March 2025, Sunday


	Kousuke Ogura		Ivan Denisov

	1	2
			Watch
	1.63	2.14	Watch
	1.64	2.18	Watch
	1.62	2.2	Watch
	1.65	2.16	Watch
	1.63	2.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↑ (1.4)	2.16 ↓ (2.75)

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kousuke Ogura
57%

Ivan Denisov
43%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.2%

33.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kousuke Ogura has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kousuke Ogura's form might have worsened.

Ivan Denisov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ivan Denisov's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
45.5%	0%	54.5%

Kousuke Ogura - Ivan Denisov Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Ogura will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). Denisov will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Denisov: 25.1% – 83.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Ogura is ranked ATP: 646. Denisov is ranked ATP: 1238.

Ogura is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Ogura will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kousuke Ogura
ITF Tournaments
24.02.25	Kousuke Ogura - Shintaro Imai	0:2 ✺
17.02.25	Kousuke Ogura - Sanhui Shin	1:2 ✺
10.02.25	Kousuke Ogura - Corban Crowther	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
04.02.25	Yuta Shimizu - Kousuke Ogura	2:1 ✺
03.02.25	Naoki Nakagawa - Kousuke Ogura	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LLLLW
- Ivan Denisov
ATP Challenger
18.02.25	Guy Den Ouden - Ivan Denisov	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
23.10.24	Nicolas Rafael Goldberg Alviani - Ivan Denisov	Denisov I. retired ✺
17.10.24	Ivan Denisov - Saveliy Ivanov	0:2 ✺
16.10.24	Ivan Denisov - Artem Bogomolov	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
07.09.24	Mikalai Haliak - Ivan Denisov	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 L?LWL

Kousuke Ogura - Ivan Denisov: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide