Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Hangzhou (China) - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 7 October 2024, Monday


	Kris van Wyk		Linang Xiao

	1	2
			Watch
	1.42	2.6
	1.42	2.65
	1.48	2.57
	1.46	2.6	Watch
	1.44	2.62	Watch
	1.45	2.63
	1.42	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↑ (1.33)	2.62 ↓ (3.13)

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kris van Wyk
64.5%

Linang Xiao
35.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.2%

29.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.7%

28.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kris van Wyk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kris van Wyk's form might have worsened.

Linang Xiao has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Linang Xiao's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kris van Wyk than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kris van Wyk, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Linang Xiao than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Linang Xiao, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Kris van Wyk - Linang Xiao Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. van Wyk will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

van Wyk is ranked ATP: 388. Xiao is ranked ATP: 815.

Recent matches van Wyk is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Xiao is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Xiao could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match van Wyk is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kris van Wyk
ITF Tournaments
24.09.24	Kris van Wyk - Tianhui Zhang	1:2 ✺
21.09.24	Aziz Dougaz - Kris van Wyk	2:0 ✺
20.09.24	Mikalai Haliak - Kris van Wyk	1:2 ✺
19.09.24	Uisung Park - Kris van Wyk	1:2 ✺
18.09.24	Rishab Agarwal - Kris van Wyk	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLWWW
- Linang Xiao
ATP Shanghai
01.10.24	Li Tu - Linang Xiao	2:0 ✺
30.09.24	Linang Xiao - Shintaro Mochizuki	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
23.09.24	Linang Xiao - Jie Cui	0:2 ✺
ATP Hangzhou
17.09.24	Chak Lam Coleman Wong - Linang Xiao	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
09.09.24	Paul Jubb - Linang Xiao	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 LWLLL

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