Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Tampico, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 13 October 2025, Monday


	Kristina Novak		Leonie Kung

	1	2
	1.91	1.8	Watch
	1.85	1.85	Watch
	1.88	1.95
	1.87	1.81	Watch
	2.09	1.74	Watch
	2.45	1.49
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↓ (2.62)	1.77 ↑ (1.44)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kristina Novak
46.9%

Leonie Kung
53.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.5%

64.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.6%

63.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kristina Novak has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Kristina Novak's performance.

Leonie Kung has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Leonie Kung might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kristina Novak than the current prediction. (-10.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kristina Novak that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leonie Kung than the current prediction. (+10.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Leonie Kung could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Kristina Novak - Leonie Kung Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Novak (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Novak is ranked WTA: 833. Kung is ranked WTA: 292.

Recent performances by Novak have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Kung has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Kung may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Kung will hold a modest advantage in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kristina Novak
ATP Challenger
12.10.25	Kristina Novak - Sachia Vickery	2:0 ✺
11.10.25	Victoria Hu - Kristina Novak	0:2 ✺
08.09.25	Kristina Novak - Anastasiya Soboleva	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
02.09.25	Bianca Elena Barbulescu - Kristina Novak	2:0 ✺
26.08.25	Kristina Novak - Samira De Stefano	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.9 WWLLL
- Leonie Kung
ATP Challenger
29.09.25	Leonie Kung - Tiphanie Lemaitre	0:2 ✺
28.09.25	Leonie Kung - Yana Morderger	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
25.09.25	Deborah Chiesa - Leonie Kung	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
09.09.25	Leonie Kung - Maja Chwalinska	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
04.09.25	Leonie Kung - Sinja Kraus	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LWLLL

Kristina Novak - Leonie Kung: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide