Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W50 Nanao (Japan), hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 26 September 2024, Thursday


	Kyoka Okamura		Haruna Arakawa

	1	2
	1.5	2.35
	1.5	2.36
	1.51	2.42
	1.51	2.39	Watch
	1.5	2.5	Watch
	1.51	2.42	Watch
	1.5	2.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↑ (1.47)	2.4 ↓ (2.49)

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kyoka Okamura
61.5%

Haruna Arakawa
38.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.9%

37.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.5%

32.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kyoka Okamura has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Haruna Arakawa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kyoka Okamura than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kyoka Okamura, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Haruna Arakawa than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Haruna Arakawa, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Kyoka Okamura - Haruna Arakawa Predictions

Users Predictions: 2 users predict this event. Okamura will win (votes: 1 - 50%). Arakawa will win (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Okamura is ranked WTA: 280. Arakawa is ranked WTA: 512.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Okamura could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Okamura will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Okamura won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kyoka Okamura
ITF Tournaments
25.09.24	Kyoka Okamura - Ikumi Yamazaki	2:0 ✺
24.09.24	Kyoka Okamura - Yuno Kitahara	2:0 ✺
WTA Seoul
14.09.24	Elena Gabriela Ruse - Kyoka Okamura	2:1 ✺
14.09.24	Hao-Ching Chan - Kyoka Okamura	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
11.09.24	Kyoka Okamura - Saki Imamura	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WWLWL
- Haruna Arakawa
ITF Tournaments
25.09.24	Haruna Arakawa - Naho Sato	2:0 ✺
24.09.24	Kayo Nishimura - Haruna Arakawa	0:2 ✺
17.09.24	Haruna Arakawa - Melisa Ercan	0:2 ✺
10.09.24	Haruna Arakawa - Destanee Aiava	0:2 ✺
02.09.24	Haruna Arakawa - Erika Sema	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
20.06.24	Haruna Arakawa - Kyoka Okamura	0:2
05.04.22	Haruna Arakawa - Kyoka Okamura	Arakawa H. retired

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