Match Info

Date: 9 May 2021, Sunday


	Laslo Djere		Pablo Carreno-Busta

	1	2
	3.2	1.36	Watch
	3.25	1.33
	3.3	1.34	Watch
	3.15	1.33
	3.44	1.36
	3.1	1.36	Watch
	3.42	1.33	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.27 ↑ (2.97)	1.34 ↓ (1.42)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Laslo Djere
29.2%

Pablo Carreno-Busta
70.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.3%

67.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.8%

69.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Laslo Djere has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Pablo Carreno-Busta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Laslo Djere than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pablo Carreno-Busta than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
13.7%	0%	86.3%

Laslo Djere - Pablo Carreno Busta Predictions

Users Predictions: Pablo Carreno-Busta will win (44 of 51 users predict this - 86.27%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.82% – 95.72%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Djere is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Carreno Busta is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Carreno Busta could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Carreno Busta is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Laslo Djere
ATP Madrid
01.05.21	Laslo Djere - Juan Ignacio Londero	1:2 ✺
ATP Belgrade
20.04.21	Gianluca Mager - Laslo Djere	2:0 ✺
20.04.21	Laslo Djere - Juan Ignacio Londero	Canceled ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
13.04.21	Karen Khachanov - Laslo Djere	2:0 ✺
ATP Cagliari
11.04.21	Laslo Djere - Lorenzo Sonego	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LL?LL
- Pablo Carreno-Busta
ATP Madrid
03.05.21	Federico Delbonis - Pablo Carreno-Busta	2:1 ✺
ATP Barcelona
24.04.21	Rafael Nadal - Pablo Carreno-Busta	2:0 ✺
23.04.21	Diego Sebastian Schwartzman - Pablo Carreno-Busta	1:2 ✺
22.04.21	Bernabe Zapata Miralles - Pablo Carreno-Busta	0:2 ✺
21.04.21	Jordan Thompson - Pablo Carreno-Busta	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LLWWW

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