Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W35 Santa Margherita di Pula 3, clay - Final

Date: 20 April 2025, Sunday


	Laura Hietaranta		Sarah Iliev

	1	2
	1.33	2.95
	1.26	3.67
	1.26	3.68	Watch
	1.36	3
	1.28	3.4	Watch
	1.35	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.31 ↓ (1.69)	3.28 ↑ (2.09)

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Laura Hietaranta
71.5%

Sarah Iliev
28.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.3%

44.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.5%

43.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Laura Hietaranta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Laura Hietaranta's performance.

Sarah Iliev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sarah Iliev might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Laura Hietaranta than the current prediction. (-15%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Laura Hietaranta that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sarah Iliev than the current prediction. (+15%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sarah Iliev could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Laura Hietaranta - Sarah Iliev Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Hietaranta is ranked WTA: 447. Iliev is ranked WTA: 818.

Now both players are in good shape.

Hietaranta could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Laura Hietaranta
ITF Tournaments
19.04.25	Laura Hietaranta - Katharina Hobgarski	Hobgarski K. retired ✺
19.04.25	Laura Hietaranta - Jenny Lim	2:0 ✺
18.04.25	Laura Hietaranta - Yelyzaveta Kotliar	2:1 ✺
17.04.25	Sara Cakarevic - Laura Hietaranta	1:2 ✺
12.04.25	Anastasiya Soboleva - Laura Hietaranta	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 ?WWWL
- Sarah Iliev
ITF Tournaments
19.04.25	Iva Ivanova - Sarah Iliev	1:2 ✺
19.04.25	Ksenia Efremova - Sarah Iliev	0:2 ✺
19.04.25	Sarah Iliev - Alessandra Mazzola	2:1 ✺
11.04.25	Antonia Schmidt - Sarah Iliev	2:1 ✺
10.04.25	Sarah Iliev - Jenny Lim	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.9 WWWLW

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