Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W50 Bujumbura, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 10 April 2026, Friday


	Laura Pigossi		Darya Astakhova

	1	2
			Watch
	2.55	1.45	Watch
	2.64	1.5
	2.44	1.48	Watch
	2.3	1.53
	2.47	1.48	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.48 ↑ (2.16)	1.49 ↓ (1.59)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Laura Pigossi
37.5%

Darya Astakhova
62.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.4%

57.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.6%

52.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Laura Pigossi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

Darya Astakhova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Laura Pigossi than the current prediction. (+10.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Laura Pigossi, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Darya Astakhova than the current prediction. (-10.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Darya Astakhova, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Laura Pigossi - Darya Astakhova Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Pigossi is ranked WTA: 234. Astakhova is ranked WTA: 336.

Recent performances by Pigossi have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Astakhova is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Astakhova may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Astakhova is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

We predict that Astakhova will win today's game, with odds of 1.61.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Laura Pigossi
ITF Tournaments
09.04.26	Laura Pigossi - Ranah Akua Stoiber	2:0 ✺
08.04.26	Laura Pigossi - Martina Colmegna	2:1 ✺
WTA Bogota
28.03.26	Laura Pigossi - Katarina Zavatska	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
19.03.26	Neus Torner Sensano - Laura Pigossi	2:0 ✺
18.03.26	Ekaterina Kazionova - Laura Pigossi	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WWLLW
- Darya Astakhova
ITF Tournaments
09.04.26	Zuzanna Pawlikowska - Darya Astakhova	0:2 ✺
08.04.26	Mathilde Lollia - Darya Astakhova	0:2 ✺
08.03.26	Darya Astakhova - Ane Mintegi Del Olmo	Astakhova D. retired ✺
07.03.26	Darya Astakhova - Rositsa Dencheva	2:1 ✺
06.03.26	Irene Burillo Escorihuela - Darya Astakhova	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WW?WW

Laura Pigossi - Darya Astakhova: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide