Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Colina, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 21 November 2025, Friday


	Laura Samsonova		Carole Monnet

	1	2
	1.5	2.5	Watch
	1.45	2.55	Watch
	1.63	2.15	Watch
	1.39	2.77	Watch
	1.64	2.04
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↓ (1.72)	2.4 ↑ (2.01)

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Laura Samsonova
61.2%

Carole Monnet
38.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.9%

46.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.5%

46.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Laura Samsonova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Laura Samsonova's performance.

Carole Monnet has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Carole Monnet might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Laura Samsonova than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Laura Samsonova that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carole Monnet than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Carole Monnet could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
41.7%	0%	58.3%

Laura Samsonova - Carole Monnet Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Samsonova will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). Monnet will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Monnet: 25.1% – 83.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Samsonova (votes: 2 - 50%). Monnet (votes: 2 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 Sets - Monnet (1.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Samsonova (votes: 2 - 40%). Monnet (votes: 3 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Samsonova is ranked WTA: 265. Monnet is ranked WTA: 164.

Samsonova is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Monnet has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Samsonova may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Laura Samsonova
ATP Challenger
20.11.25	Laura Samsonova - Sara Sorribes Tormo	2:0 ✺
18.11.25	Varvara Lepchenko - Laura Samsonova	0:2 ✺
18.11.25	Simona Waltert - Laura Samsonova	Canceled ✺
ITF Tournaments
12.10.25	Selena Janicijevic - Laura Samsonova	1:2 ✺
11.10.25	Laura Samsonova - Raluca Georgiana Serban	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WW?WW
- Carole Monnet
ATP Challenger
19.11.25	Carolina Alves - Carole Monnet	0:2 ✺
18.11.25	Carole Monnet - Veronika Erjavec	2:1 ✺
05.11.25	Carole Monnet - Julia Riera	1:2 ✺
04.11.25	Carole Monnet - Gergana Topalova	2:0 ✺
28.10.25	Panna Udvardy - Carole Monnet	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WWLW?

Laura Samsonova - Carole Monnet: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide