Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Colina, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 18 November 2025, Tuesday


	Varvara Lepchenko		Laura Samsonova

	1	2
	2.1	1.67	Watch
	2.21	1.6	Watch
	2.33	1.61
	1.85	1.86	Watch
	2.2	1.6	Watch
	1.84	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↑ (1.85)	1.69 ↓ (1.86)

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Varvara Lepchenko
44.7%

Laura Samsonova
55.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.1%

49.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.6%

50.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Varvara Lepchenko has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Varvara Lepchenko's form might have worsened.

Laura Samsonova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Laura Samsonova's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Varvara Lepchenko than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Laura Samsonova than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

Varvara Lepchenko - Laura Samsonova Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Lepchenko is ranked WTA: 154. Samsonova is ranked WTA: 265.

Lepchenko has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Samsonova is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Lepchenko may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Varvara Lepchenko - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 50.13%, but this team recently wins 36% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Varvara Lepchenko
ATP Challenger
17.11.25	Despina Papamichail - Varvara Lepchenko	Canceled ✺
07.11.25	Marina Stakusic - Varvara Lepchenko	2:0 ✺
05.11.25	Varvara Lepchenko - Louisa Chirico	2:0 ✺
04.11.25	Christasha McNeil - Varvara Lepchenko	0:2 ✺
30.10.25	Panna Udvardy - Varvara Lepchenko	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 ?LWWL
- Laura Samsonova
ATP Challenger
18.11.25	Simona Waltert - Laura Samsonova	Canceled ✺
ITF Tournaments
12.10.25	Selena Janicijevic - Laura Samsonova	1:2 ✺
11.10.25	Laura Samsonova - Raluca Georgiana Serban	2:0 ✺
10.10.25	Laura Samsonova - Laura Mair	2:0 ✺
09.10.25	Laura Samsonova - Natalija Senic	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 ?WWWW

Varvara Lepchenko - Laura Samsonova: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide