Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Mallorca (Spain), hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 28 August 2024, Wednesday

Referee: Sanchez I. L. (Esp)


	Laurent Lokoli		Alexander Blockx

	1	2
	2.2	1.62	Watch
	2.05	1.7
	2.08	1.67	Watch
	2.15	1.72
	2.12	1.68	Watch
	2.1	1.67	Watch
	2.04	1.72	Watch
	2.08	1.67
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↓ (2.57)	1.68 ↑ (1.45)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Laurent Lokoli
44.4%

Alexander Blockx
55.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.1%

63.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.5%

64.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Laurent Lokoli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Laurent Lokoli's performance.

Alexander Blockx has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alexander Blockx might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Laurent Lokoli than the current prediction. (-8.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Laurent Lokoli that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexander Blockx than the current prediction. (+8.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alexander Blockx could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
41.7%	0%	58.3%

Laurent Lokoli - Alexander Blockx Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Lokoli will win (votes: 5 - 50%). Blockx will win (votes: 5 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lokoli: 19% – 81%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Lokoli is ranked ATP: 458. Blockx is ranked ATP: 262.

Lokoli is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Blockx is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Lokoli could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Laurent Lokoli
ATP Challenger
27.08.24	Laurent Lokoli - Lucas Poullain	2:1 ✺
26.08.24	Michael Geerts - Laurent Lokoli	0:2 ✺
15.08.24	Antoine Escoffier - Laurent Lokoli	2:1 ✺
14.08.24	Alberto Barroso Campos - Laurent Lokoli	0:2 ✺
13.08.24	Laurent Lokoli - August Holmgren	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 WWLWW
- Alexander Blockx
ITF Tournaments
17.08.24	Guy Den Ouden - Alexander Blockx	Blockx A. walkover ✺
16.08.24	Tom Gentzsch - Alexander Blockx	1:2 ✺
15.08.24	Louis Herman - Alexander Blockx	0:2 ✺
13.08.24	Emilien Demanet - Alexander Blockx	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
10.08.24	Alexander Blockx - Carlos Taberner	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 ?WWWL

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