Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Grodzisk Mazowiecki (Poland), hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 13 August 2024, Tuesday

Referee: Petrovic M. (Srb)


	Laurent Lokoli		August Holmgren

	1	2
	2.38	1.53	Watch
	2.3	1.55
	2.33	1.54	Watch
	2.42	1.58
	2.26	1.6	Watch
	2.38	1.53	Watch
	2.38	1.55	Watch
	2.33	1.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.35 ↓ (2.59)	1.55 ↑ (1.47)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Laurent Lokoli
39.8%

August Holmgren
60.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.2%

63.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33%

67%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Laurent Lokoli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

August Holmgren has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Laurent Lokoli than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Laurent Lokoli that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for August Holmgren than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that August Holmgren could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	0%	85.7%

Laurent Lokoli - August Holmgren Predictions

Users Predictions: August Holmgren will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Lokoli is ranked ATP: 511. Holmgren is ranked ATP: 168.

Recent matches Lokoli is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Holmgren in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Holmgren could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Holmgren will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's Holmgren to win the game is with odds 1.49.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Laurent Lokoli
ATP Challenger
12.08.24	Richard Berankis - Laurent Lokoli	0:2 ✺
11.08.24	Fryderyk Lechno-Wasiutynski - Laurent Lokoli	0:2 ✺
23.07.24	Michael Geerts - Laurent Lokoli	2:0 ✺
19.07.24	Robin Bertrand - Laurent Lokoli	2:1 ✺
18.07.24	Steven Diez - Laurent Lokoli	Diez S. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 WWLL?
- August Holmgren
ATP Challenger
04.08.24	Alejandro Moro Canas - August Holmgren	0:2 ✺
03.08.24	Mikhail Kukushkin - August Holmgren	1:2 ✺
02.08.24	August Holmgren - Arthur Reymond	2:1 ✺
01.08.24	Timofey Skatov - August Holmgren	0:2 ✺
30.07.24	August Holmgren - Michael Geerts	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 WWWWW

Laurent Lokoli - August Holmgren: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide