Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Santa Margherita di Pula 2, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 9 April 2025, Wednesday


	Laurent Lokoli		Max Houkes

	1	2
			Watch
	2.5	1.45
	2.74	1.42	Watch
	2.5	1.5
	2.66	1.43	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.6 ↓ (2.75)	1.45 ↑ (1.41)

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Laurent Lokoli
35.8%

Max Houkes
64.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.9%

66.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.3%

69.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Laurent Lokoli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Max Houkes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Laurent Lokoli than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Laurent Lokoli that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Max Houkes than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Max Houkes could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Laurent Lokoli - Max Houkes Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Lokoli is ranked ATP: 472. Houkes is ranked ATP: 285.

Recent matches Lokoli is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Houkes in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Houkes could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Houkes will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's Houkes to win the game is with odds 1.41.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Laurent Lokoli
ITF Tournaments
08.04.25	Laurent Lokoli - Julian Messina	2:0 ✺
03.04.25	Laurent Lokoli - Dominic Stephan Stricker	0:2 ✺
02.04.25	Laurent Lokoli - Silvio Mencaglia	2:0 ✺
01.04.25	Laurent Lokoli - Rocco Piatti	2:0 ✺
06.03.25	John Echeverria - Laurent Lokoli	Lokoli L. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 WLWW?
- Max Houkes
ITF Tournaments
07.04.25	Hayato Matsuoka - Max Houkes	0:2 ✺
05.04.25	Max Houkes - Dominic Stephan Stricker	2:0 ✺
04.04.25	Guy Den Ouden - Max Houkes	1:2 ✺
03.04.25	Max Houkes - Nicolas Parizzia	2:0 ✺
02.04.25	Max Houkes - Francesco Ferrari	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WWWWW

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