Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Santa Margherita di Pula, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 4 April 2025, Friday


	Guy Den Ouden		Max Houkes

	1	2
			Watch
	1.83	1.83
	1.89	1.85	Watch
	1.83	1.83
	1.85	1.85	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↑ (1.83)	1.84 ↑ (1.83)

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guy Den Ouden
49.9%

Max Houkes
50.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6%

47.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guy Den Ouden has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Max Houkes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guy Den Ouden than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Max Houkes than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Guy Den Ouden - Max Houkes Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Den Ouden is ranked ATP: 252. Houkes is ranked ATP: 273.

Recent matches Den Ouden is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Houkes is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Houkes could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Den Ouden won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5:7 (average 1.3:1.8).

Last Results with these Odds

Max Houkes - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 86% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guy Den Ouden
ITF Tournaments
03.04.25	Guy Den Ouden - Federico Bondioli	2:0 ✺
02.04.25	Guy Den Ouden - Mariano Tammaro	2:0 ✺
31.03.25	Guy Den Ouden - Noah Perfetti	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
09.03.25	Valentin Royer - Guy Den Ouden	2:0 ✺
08.03.25	Luka Pavlovic - Guy Den Ouden	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WWWLW
- Max Houkes
ITF Tournaments
03.04.25	Max Houkes - Nicolas Parizzia	2:0 ✺
02.04.25	Max Houkes - Francesco Ferrari	2:0 ✺
31.03.25	Max Houkes - Alberto Bronzetti	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
23.03.25	Max Houkes - Giovanni Fonio	1:2 ✺
08.03.25	Max Houkes - Valentin Royer	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
30.06.24	Max Houkes - Guy Den Ouden	2:1
09.07.23	Guy Den Ouden - Max Houkes	1:2
16.06.23	Max Houkes - Guy Den Ouden	1:2

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