Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Santa Fe, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 12 June 2025, Thursday


	Lautaro Midon		Facundo Bagnis

	1	2
	1.8	1.91	Watch
	1.91	1.8	Watch
	1.76	1.96	Watch
			Watch
	1.91	1.8	Watch
	1.76	1.97	Watch
	1.76	1.96
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↓ (1.84)	1.9 ↑ (1.84)

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lautaro Midon
51.1%

Facundo Bagnis
48.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.4%

47.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lautaro Midon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Facundo Bagnis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lautaro Midon than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Facundo Bagnis than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Lautaro Midon - Facundo Bagnis Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Midon will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Bagnis will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Midon is ranked ATP: 311. Bagnis is ranked ATP: 901.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Bagnis may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Lautaro Midon - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lautaro Midon
ATP Challenger
10.06.25	Lautaro Midon - Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
29.05.25	Gonzalo Villanueva - Lautaro Midon	2:1 ✺
28.05.25	Juan Estevez - Lautaro Midon	1:2 ✺
26.05.25	Fermin Tenti - Lautaro Midon	0:2 ✺
23.05.25	Gonzalo Villanueva - Lautaro Midon	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WLWWL
- Facundo Bagnis
ATP Challenger
10.06.25	Facundo Bagnis - Conner Huertas Del Pino	2:0 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
19.05.25	Elmer Moller - Facundo Bagnis	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
25.04.25	Andrea Collarini - Facundo Bagnis	Bagnis F. retired ✺
24.04.25	Facundo Bagnis - Renzo Olivo	2:1 ✺
22.04.25	Facundo Bagnis - Gonzalo Villanueva	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WL?WW

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