Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Villa Maria, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 18 September 2025, Thursday


	Andrea Collarini		Facundo Bagnis

	1	2
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.72	2.01
	1.79	1.93	Watch
	1.87	1.85	Watch
	1.8	1.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↓ (1.82)	1.94 ↑ (1.9)

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Andrea Collarini
52.1%

Facundo Bagnis
47.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51%

49%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.7%

48.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Andrea Collarini has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Facundo Bagnis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Andrea Collarini than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Facundo Bagnis than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	16.7%	50%

Andrea Collarini - Facundo Bagnis Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Collarini will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Bagnis will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Collarini is ranked ATP: 252. Bagnis is ranked ATP: 468.

Recent performances by Collarini have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Bagnis is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Bagnis may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Collarini won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 0.5:0.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Andrea Collarini - the odds 1.82 are the expected chance of winning is 51.03%, but this team recently wins 62% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Andrea Collarini
ATP Challenger
16.09.25	Gonzalo Bueno - Andrea Collarini	1:2 ✺
ATP US Open
21.08.25	Mitchell Krueger - Andrea Collarini	2:0 ✺
19.08.25	Jan Choinski - Andrea Collarini	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
01.08.25	Andrea Collarini - Gonzalo Bueno	0:2 ✺
31.07.25	Andrea Collarini - Cedrik-Marcel Stebe	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WLWLW
- Facundo Bagnis
ATP Challenger
16.09.25	Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi - Facundo Bagnis	1:2 ✺
15.09.25	Facundo Bagnis - Leonardo Aboian	2:0 ✺
14.09.25	Facundo Bagnis - Federico Aguilar Cardozo	2:0 ✺
ATP US Open
18.08.25	James Duckworth - Facundo Bagnis	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
13.08.25	Facundo Bagnis - Bernard Tomic	Tomic B. walkover ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WWWL?

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
25.04.25	Andrea Collarini - Facundo Bagnis	Bagnis F. retired
16.03.21	Andrea Collarini - Facundo Bagnis	Canceled
ATP Cordoba
21.02.21	Facundo Bagnis - Andrea Collarini	2:0
ATP Challenger
23.10.18	Facundo Bagnis - Andrea Collarini	0:2

Andrea Collarini - Facundo Bagnis: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide