Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Lajeado (Brazil), clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 1 November 2024, Friday


	Lautaro Midon		Matias Soto

	1	2
	1.53	2.3
	1.53	2.29
	1.54	2.42
	1.54	2.32	Watch
	1.53	2.38
	1.54	2.35	Watch
	1.53	2.29
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↓ (1.69)	2.34 ↑ (2.09)

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lautaro Midon
60.4%

Matias Soto
39.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.3%

44.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.3%

41.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lautaro Midon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lautaro Midon's performance.

Matias Soto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Matias Soto might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lautaro Midon than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matias Soto than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Lautaro Midon - Matias Soto Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Midon is ranked ATP: 422. Soto is ranked ATP: 300.

Midon is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Soto is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Soto could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lautaro Midon
ITF Tournaments
31.10.24	Lautaro Midon - Juan Bautista Otegui	2:0 ✺
30.10.24	Lautaro Midon - Bruno Fernandez	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
22.10.24	Hady Habib - Lautaro Midon	2:0 ✺
21.10.24	Valerio Aboian - Lautaro Midon	0:2 ✺
20.10.24	Tomas Farjat - Lautaro Midon	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WWLWW
- Matias Soto
ITF Tournaments
31.10.24	Joao Eduardo Schiessl - Matias Soto	1:2 ✺
30.10.24	Jefferson Wendler Filho - Matias Soto	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
21.10.24	Matias Soto - Roman Andres Burruchaga	0:2 ✺
15.10.24	Matias Soto - Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco	0:2 ✺
14.10.24	Matias Soto - Joao Eduardo Schiessl	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WWLLW

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