Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Antofagasta, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 8 October 2026, Thursday


	Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo		Lautaro Midon

	1	2
			Watch
	1.75	1.98
	1.76	2.02	Watch
	1.76	1.95	Watch
	1.80	2.00
	1.72	1.98	Watch
	1.75	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↑ (1.73)	1.98 ↑ (1.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo
53%

Lautaro Midon
47%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.2%

46.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.8%

51.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Lautaro Midon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lautaro Midon than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	0%	87.5%

Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo - Lautaro Midon Predictions

Users Predictions: Lautaro Midon will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Aguilar Cardozo is ranked ATP: 342., and Midon is ranked ATP: 206..

Aguilar Cardozo has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Midon has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Aguilar Cardozo may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Aguilar Cardozo is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Aguilar Cardozo has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 1:4 (averaging 0.5:2 goals per game).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo
ATP Challenger
06.10.26	Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo - Nicolas Villalon	2:0 ✺
05.10.26	Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo - Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez	2:1 ✺
04.10.26	Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo - Santiago De La Fuente	2:1 ✺
26.09.26	Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo - Alex Barrena	0:2 ✺
25.09.26	Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WWWLW
- Lautaro Midon
ATP Challenger
06.10.26	Jose Pereira - Lautaro Midon	1:2 ✺
02.10.26	Gustavo Heide - Lautaro Midon	2:0 ✺
30.09.26	Bruno Fernandez - Lautaro Midon	0:2 ✺
29.09.26	Matias Soto - Lautaro Midon	0:2 ✺
ATP US Open
24.08.26	Kyrian Jacquet - Lautaro Midon	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
27.03.25	Lautaro Midon - Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo	2:1
17.09.24	Lautaro Midon - Joaquin Aguilar Cardozo	2:0

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