Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: BUENOS AIRES (ARGENTINA), CLAY - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 24 April 2023, Monday


	Lautaro Midon		Nick Hardt

	1	2
	2.2	1.62	Watch
	2.1	1.65
	2.1	1.7
	2.06	1.79
	2.2	1.62	Watch
	2.05	1.71	Watch
	2.15	1.63
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↓ (2.48)	1.67 ↑ (1.5)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lautaro Midon
44.1%

Nick Hardt
55.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.7%

62.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.5%

62.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lautaro Midon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lautaro Midon's performance.

Nick Hardt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nick Hardt might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lautaro Midon than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lautaro Midon that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nick Hardt than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nick Hardt could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	0%	42.9%

Lautaro Midon - Nick Hardt Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Midon will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Hardt will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Recent matches Midon is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Hardt is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lautaro Midon
ATP Challenger
14.03.23	Lautaro Midon - Thiago Seyboth Wild	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
04.03.23	Lautaro Midon - Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna	1:2 ✺
03.03.23	Juan Bautista Torres - Lautaro Midon	0:2 ✺
02.03.23	Fermin Tenti - Lautaro Midon	Tenti F. retired ✺
01.03.23	Lautaro Midon - Genaro Alberto Olivieri	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 LLW?W
- Nick Hardt
ATP Challenger
04.04.23	Denis Yevseyev - Nick Hardt	2:0 ✺
27.03.23	Enzo Couacaud - Nick Hardt	2:1 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
06.03.23	Nick Hardt - Taro Daniel	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
02.03.23	Nick Hardt - Aleksandar Kovacevic	0:2 ✺
28.02.23	Nick Hardt - Toby Alex Kodat	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LLLLW

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