Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Buenos Aires, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 9 February 2026, Monday 🏁 Finished

Location: Buenos Aires 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Finland	19:45	MTV Katsomo+
Portugal	17:45	Sport TV6
United Kingdom	17:45	Sky Sports Tennis


	Lautaro Midon		Pedro Martinez Portero

	1	2
	2.1	1.73	Watch
	2	1.75
	2.11	1.8
	1.93	1.84	Watch
	2	1.8
	2.12	1.74	Watch
	1.97	1.77
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↓ (2.98)	1.78 ↑ (1.4)

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lautaro Midon
46.6%

Pedro Martinez Portero
53.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

31.9%

68.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.7%

60.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lautaro Midon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lautaro Midon's performance.

Pedro Martinez Portero has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Pedro Martinez Portero might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lautaro Midon than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lautaro Midon that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pedro Martinez Portero than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pedro Martinez Portero could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Lautaro Midon - Pedro Martinez Portero Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Midon will win (votes: 6 - 50%). Martinez Portero will win (votes: 6 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Midon: 21.7% – 78.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Midon (votes: 4 - 40%). Martinez Portero (votes: 6 - 60%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Midon is ranked ATP: 231. Martinez Portero is ranked ATP: 77.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Midon may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Martinez Portero could have a small edge in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Pedro Martinez Portero - the odds 1.4 are the expected chance of winning is 68.08%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lautaro Midon
ATP Buenos Aires
08.02.26	Daniel Elahi Galan - Lautaro Midon	1:2 ✺
07.02.26	Lautaro Midon - Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
02.02.26	Roman Andres Burruchaga - Lautaro Midon	2:0 ✺
30.01.26	Alejandro Tabilo - Lautaro Midon	2:1 ✺
29.01.26	Lautaro Midon - Alex Barrena	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WWLLW
- Pedro Martinez Portero
ATP Montpellier
02.02.26	Pedro Martinez Portero - Adrian Mannarino	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
29.01.26	Pedro Martinez Portero - Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg	0:2 ✺
28.01.26	Pedro Martinez Portero - Arthur Bouquier	2:0 ✺
ATP Australian Open
19.01.26	Pedro Martinez Portero - Novak Djokovic	0:3 ✺
ATP Challenger
10.01.26	Pedro Martinez Portero - Timofey Skatov	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LLWLW

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lautaro Midon
ATP Challenger
26.10.26	Gonzalo Villanueva - Lautaro Midon	✺

Lautaro Midon - Pedro Martinez Portero: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide