Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Bastad, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 16 July 2026, Thursday


	Alejandro Tabilo		Lautaro Midon

	1	2
	1.30	3.50	Watch
	1.28	3.60	Watch
	1.30	3.50	Watch
	1.29	4.11
	1.24	3.86	Watch
	1.28	3.75
	1.28	3.70	Watch
	1.25	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.28 ↓ (1.3)	3.68 ↑ (3.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 1.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alejandro Tabilo
74.3%

Lautaro Midon
25.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

72.9%

27.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

74%

26%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alejandro Tabilo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Lautaro Midon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alejandro Tabilo than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lautaro Midon than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Alejandro Tabilo - Lautaro Midon Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Midon (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 Sets - Midon (1.96) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Alejandro Tabilo will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Midon (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Tabilo is ranked ATP: 31. Midon is ranked ATP: 213.

Tabilo is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Midon is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Tabilo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Tabilo is the team to beat.

We predict that Midon will win today's game, with odds of 3.58.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Tabilo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alejandro Tabilo
ATP Wimbledon
30.06.26	Kamil Majchrzak - Alejandro Tabilo	3:0 ✺
ATP Mallorca
23.06.26	Fabian Marozsan - Alejandro Tabilo	2:0 ✺
ATP London
16.06.26	Rinky Hijikata - Alejandro Tabilo	2:0 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
01.06.26	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Alejandro Tabilo	3:0 ✺
30.05.26	Moise Kouame - Alejandro Tabilo	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLLW
- Lautaro Midon
ATP Bastad
14.07.26	Facundo Diaz Acosta - Lautaro Midon	1:2 ✺
13.07.26	Igor Marcondes - Lautaro Midon	0:2 ✺
12.07.26	William Rejchtman Vinciguerra - Lautaro Midon	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
10.07.26	Lautaro Midon - Zsombor Piros	0:2 ✺
08.07.26	Ilia Simakin - Lautaro Midon	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
30.01.26	Alejandro Tabilo - Lautaro Midon	2:1

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