Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W35 Redding, CA (USA), hard - Semi-finals

Date: 5 October 2024, Saturday


	Lea Ma		Ayana Akli

	1	2
	1.91	1.75
	1.9	1.77
	1.98	1.79
	1.92	1.79	Watch
	1.83	1.83
	1.91	1.79	Watch
	1.9	1.77
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↑ (1.65)	1.78 ↓ (2.1)

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lea Ma
48.3%

Ayana Akli
51.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.1%

43.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.8%

41.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lea Ma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lea Ma's form might have worsened.

Ayana Akli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ayana Akli's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lea Ma than the current prediction. (+10.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lea Ma, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ayana Akli than the current prediction. (-10.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ayana Akli, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Lea Ma - Ayana Akli Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Ma is ranked WTA: 494. Akli is ranked WTA: 553.

Recent matches Ma is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Akli is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Ma could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lea Ma
ITF Tournaments
04.10.24	Lea Ma - Himeno Sakatsume	2:1 ✺
03.10.24	Kaylah McPhee - Lea Ma	1:2 ✺
01.10.24	Berta Passola - Lea Ma	0:2 ✺
25.09.24	Lea Ma - Whitney Osuigwe	0:2 ✺
20.09.24	Lea Ma - Sophie Chang	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WWWLL
- Ayana Akli
ITF Tournaments
04.10.24	Ayana Akli - Eryn Cayetano	2:1 ✺
03.10.24	Clervie Ngounoue - Ayana Akli	0:2 ✺
02.10.24	Ayana Akli - Isabelle Boulais	2:0 ✺
26.09.24	Ayana Akli - Jamie Loeb	0:2 ✺
25.09.24	Hibah Shaikh - Ayana Akli	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 WWWLW

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