Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W35 Arcadia, CA, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 27 February 2026, Friday


	Lea Ma		Julieta Pareja

	1	2
			Watch
	2.25	1.56
	2.23	1.67
	2.08	1.65	Watch
	2.2	1.57
	2.25	1.57	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↑ (1.97)	1.6 ↓ (1.71)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lea Ma
42.1%

Julieta Pareja
57.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.5%

53.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.3%

45.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lea Ma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Julieta Pareja has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lea Ma than the current prediction. (+12.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lea Ma, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Julieta Pareja than the current prediction. (-12.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Julieta Pareja, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Lea Ma - Julieta Pareja Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Pareja (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Ma is ranked WTA: 324. Pareja is ranked WTA: 352.

Currently, both players are in excellent shape.

Pareja may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

We predict that Pareja will win today's game, with odds of 1.7.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lea Ma
ITF Tournaments
26.02.26	Lea Ma - Maya Iyengar	2:1 ✺
25.02.26	Lea Ma - Jaeda Daniel	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
17.02.26	Gabriela Lee - Lea Ma	2:0 ✺
16.02.26	Lea Ma - Sara Daavettila	2:0 ✺
15.02.26	Lea Ma - Jamie Loeb	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WWLWW
- Julieta Pareja
ITF Tournaments
26.02.26	Savannah Broadus - Julieta Pareja	0:2 ✺
25.02.26	Nadia Lagaev - Julieta Pareja	0:2 ✺
21.02.26	Kristina Liutova - Julieta Pareja	2:0 ✺
19.02.26	Julieta Pareja - Jiangxue Han	2:0 ✺
18.02.26	Julieta Pareja - Mathilde Ngijol-Carre	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WWLWW

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