Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W50 Boca Raton, FL (USA), clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 19 November 2024, Tuesday


	Lea Ma		Maria Kozyreva

	1	2
	1.55	2.25
	1.55	2.26
	1.52	2.41
	1.56	2.29	Watch
	1.53	2.38	Watch
	1.57	2.28
	1.55	2.26
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↓ (1.72)	2.3 ↑ (1.99)

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lea Ma
59.8%

Maria Kozyreva
40.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.7%

46.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.8%

43.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lea Ma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lea Ma's performance.

Maria Kozyreva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Maria Kozyreva might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lea Ma than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maria Kozyreva than the current prediction. (+3%)

Lea Ma - Maria Kozyreva Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Ma is ranked WTA: 367. Kozyreva is ranked WTA: 447.

Recent matches Ma is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Kozyreva is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Ma could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Ma will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lea Ma
ITF Tournaments
09.11.24	Darja Vidmanova - Lea Ma	2:0 ✺
08.11.24	Lea Ma - Lexington Reed	2:0 ✺
07.11.24	Lea Ma - Raquel Gonzalez Vilar	2:1 ✺
06.11.24	Lea Ma - Gabriella Price	Canceled ✺
29.10.24	Lea Ma - Haruka Kaji	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LWW?L
- Maria Kozyreva
WTA Merida
26.10.24	Maria Kozyreva - Anastasia Tikhonova	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
21.10.24	Anastasiya Soboleva - Maria Kozyreva	2:0 ✺
19.10.24	Maria Kononova - Maria Kozyreva	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
16.10.24	Maria Kozyreva - Maria Lourdes Carle	0:2 ✺
09.10.24	Elizabeth Mandlik - Maria Kozyreva	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLWLL

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