Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W75 Granby, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 14 July 2026, Tuesday


	Lea Ma		Haruka Kaji

	1	2
			Watch
	1.72	1.98
	1.72	2.00
	1.79	2.05
	1.71	1.97	Watch
	1.57	2.30
	1.70	2.01	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↓ (1.73)	2.05 ↑ (2)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lea Ma
54.7%

Haruka Kaji
45.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.6%

46.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.6%

43.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lea Ma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Haruka Kaji has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lea Ma than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Haruka Kaji than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Lea Ma - Haruka Kaji Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Ma is ranked WTA: 277. Kaji is ranked WTA: 258.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Ma may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Ma won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lea Ma
ATP Challenger
09.07.26	Mananchaya Sawangkaew - Lea Ma	2:0 ✺
08.07.26	Lea Ma - Clervie Ngounoue	Ngounoue C. Retired ✺
ITF Tournaments
03.07.26	Lea Ma - Savannah Broadus	0:2 ✺
02.07.26	Lea Ma - Clervie Ngounoue	2:1 ✺
30.06.26	Elvina Kalieva - Lea Ma	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 L?LWW
- Haruka Kaji
ITF Tournaments
10.07.26	Julieta Pareja - Haruka Kaji	2:0 ✺
09.07.26	Christasha McNeil - Haruka Kaji	1:2 ✺
07.07.26	Sofia Johnson - Haruka Kaji	0:2 ✺
02.07.26	Haruka Kaji - Lucrezia Stefanini	0:2 ✺
30.06.26	Haruka Kaji - Rebecca Marino	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
29.10.24	Lea Ma - Haruka Kaji	0:2

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