Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Jingshan - Qualification, hard - Final

Date: 21 September 2025, Sunday


	Lea Ma		Ying Zhang

	1	2
	1.25	3.75	Watch
			Watch
	1.24	4.38
	1.27	3.48	Watch
	1.28	3.82	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.26 ↓ (1.49)	3.86 ↑ (2.47)

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lea Ma
75.4%

Ying Zhang
24.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.4%

37.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.4%

35.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lea Ma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lea Ma's performance.

Ying Zhang has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ying Zhang might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lea Ma than the current prediction. (-11%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lea Ma that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ying Zhang than the current prediction. (+11%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ying Zhang could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Lea Ma - Ying Zhang Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Ma will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Zhang will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Ma (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Ma is ranked WTA: 336. Zhang is ranked WTA: 423.

Ma has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Zhang is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Ma may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Ma might have a minor edge in this game.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lea Ma
ATP Challenger
20.09.25	Lea Ma - Fang Ying Xun	2:0 ✺
WTA Monterrey
16.08.25	Lulu Sun - Lea Ma	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
01.08.25	Lea Ma - Varvara Lepchenko	0:2 ✺
31.07.25	Clervie Ngounoue - Lea Ma	Ma L. walkover ✺
30.07.25	Lea Ma - Makenna Jones	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WLL?W
- Ying Zhang
ATP Challenger
19.09.25	Jiaqi Wang - Ying Zhang	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
10.09.25	Ying Zhang - Fangran Tian	Zhang Y. retired ✺
10.09.25	Chihiro Muramatsu - Ying Zhang	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
01.09.25	Ying Zhang - Alina Charaeva	Zhang Y. retired ✺
ITF Tournaments
14.08.25	Mio Mushika - Ying Zhang	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 W?W?L

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